Lack of Trout Moving Line Against Halos


Steve Mitchell – USA TODAY Sports

It’s not often you see Mike Trout getting a day off, but when it does happen, lines will move.

At 12:54 p.m. ET, the Angels lineup was posted and much to bettors’ surprise, Chris Young was in center field instead of Trout.


At that time, the Angels were -175 with Shohei Ohtani facing off against Fernando Romero of the Twins. Sixty-seven percent of bettors were backing the Angels’ two-way star, too.

Within two minutes of the news, Los Angeles moved from -175 to -165. Just a few minutes later, the line was down to -158, which is an implied probability drop of 2.4%. This may seem low, but star players in baseball don’t move lines nearly as much as their football or basketball counterparts, where key players can move the spread upwards of five points.

Just the other day, Bryce Harper rested in San Diego and the Nats’ implied probability dropped 1.57% within a several minute clip following the news.

The total also moved a bit, as the dropoff from Trout’s bat to Young’s is obviously going to mean less runs over a large sample. The juice moved from 7.5 (u-110) to 7.5 (u-118).

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories