MLB Betting Notes: Quick Hitters for All 11 Thursday Games


Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

May 31, 2018, 07:10 AM EDT

We have 11 games on tap for Thursday, two of which will be played in the afternoon. We’ll get a little bit of everything, including the return of Clayton Kershaw and the MLB debut of Shane Bieber for the Indians.

Let’s take a look at each of the matchups from a betting and fantasy perspective.

Los Angeles Angels (-233) at Detroit Tigers (+190) | O/U: 9.5

Andrew Heaney (2-3, 3.09 ERA) vs. Ryan Carpenter (0-1, 8.31 ERA)
1:10 p.m. ET

Two lefties will face off in an early afternoon affair in Detroit. The Angels rank 25th in average (.225) against left-handed pitching this season, while the Tigers have the fifth-best average at .267. However, Los Angeles certainly has the pitching advantage on paper. Carpenter comes up from Triple-A Toledo to make his third career start. In his first two starts (both in Detroit this season), he allowed eight earned runs over eight innings.

Meanwhile, Heaney comes in red hot. After struggling in his first two starts of 2018, the 2012 first-round draft pick has dominated from the bump. Since April 20, he has allowed only six earned runs over six starts. During that span, he has a sparkling 1.45 ERA over 37.1 innings and hasn’t allowed more than one earned run in five of the six outings. His performance is even more impressive when you consider he faced the Astros, Rockies at Coors Field and Yankees twice over that stretch. — Stuckey

Tampa Bay Rays (+127) at Oakland Athletics (-141) | O/U: 7.5

Ryne Stanek (1-0, 3.24 ERA) vs. Daniel Mengden (5-4, 2.85 ERA)
3:35 p.m. ET

Stanek may be the starting pitcher, but Ryan Yarbrough will likely get the brunt of the work for Tampa. Over his past three appearances, two of which have come following Sergio Romo starts, Yarbrough has allowed just three runs over 18.1 innings. During that span, he has 16 strikeouts to just four walks. If you’re playing the early DraftKings slate with just two games, rostering Yarbrough at $5,500 might not be that psychotic of a move. — Mark Gallant

The under is 12-3 in the Athletics’ home games in May, which makes them the most profitable home under team in the month. — Evan Abrams

Oakland will play the final game of 10 straight at home this afternoon. The A’s are just 3-6 on the home stand, thanks to an ice-cold offense, which has scored only 15 runs (1.67 average) over that stretch. The good news? They should get Khris Davis (who has missed the last nine games) back in the lineup. Despite missing those contests, Khrush leads Oakland in home runs and is just one off the RBI lead. — Stuckey

New York Yankees (-168) at Baltimore Orioles (+151) | O/U: 10.5

Sonny Gray (3-4, 5.98 ERA) vs. Andrew Cashner (2-6, 5.07 ERA)
7:05 p.m. ET

In four career starts against the Yankees, Andrew Cashner owns an ERA of 1.73, including just a .204 BAA. Cashner has faced all 30 MLB teams in his career, and the only team he owns a lower ERA against is the Cardinals at 1.70. — Evan Abrams

With that said, I don’t know how much confidence I’d put in this version of Cashner, who comes off an outing in Tampa in which he allowed 11 hits and four walks in just five innings. You also can’t really trust the Orioles’ offense, which just totaled two runs in a three-game series with the Nationals. Baltimore has amazingly scored three or fewer runs in 33 of its 57 games this season. — Stuckey

Chicago Cubs (-160) at New York Mets (+145) | O/U: 8

Jose Quintana (5-4, 4.78) vs. Seth Lugo (1-1, 2.48 ERA)
7:10 p.m. ET

The Mets will try to match a left-handed starter with their horrid bullpen. That spells disaster on two fronts. New York has hit an MLB worst .216 against southpaws, with a league-low seven homers. (No other team has fewer than 10.)

Its pen, which has 11 blown saves already, has been even worse, especially of late.  In the past eight games, the Mets have lost four times when leading after six innings. They lead the league in that category with six blown losses. Remember when the Mets were 11-1? Neither do I. –Stuckey

Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) at St. Louis Cardinals (-160) | O/U: 8.5

Trevor Williams (5-3, 3.43 ERA) vs. Jack Flaherty (2-1, 2.15 ERA)
7:15 p.m. ET

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