Saturday MLB Betting Notes: Will Darvish Find His Form Against Milwaukee?
Yeah, we know it’s “Moving Day” at Augusta National, but there’s also a lot of baseball to dive into on Saturday.
All 30 teams are in action — Mother Nature, please cooperate — but we’ve highlighted a couple of eye-catchers on the slate, four of which are divisional matchups and the other is the Twins vs. the Mariners.
Why you ask? Well, Minnesota’s Jose Berrios certainly has our attention after his complete-game goose egg in his first start, so let’s see if he can back that up against the M’s.
- New York Mets (+135) @ Washington Nationals (-160), 1:05 p.m. ET
- Baltimore Orioles (+218) @ New York Yankees (-245), 1:05 p.m. ET
- Tampa Bay Rays (+150) @ Boston Red Sox (-175), 1:05 p.m. ET
- Seattle Mariners (+141) @ Minnesota Twins (-156), 2:10 p.m. ET
- Chicago Cubs (-140) @ Milwaukee Brewers (+126), 4:05 p.m. ET
New York Mets (+135) @ Washington Nationals (-160) | O/U: 8
1:05 p.m. ET
Steven Matz (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.50 ERA)
G-Unit: Since being traded to the Nationals before the 2012 season, Gonzalez is 16-6 on the moneyline against the Mets (+7.1 units), his most profitable opponent as a National. – Evan Abrams
Gonzalez twirled a great start in his 2018 debut, allowing one run, striking out seven, and walking just one Cincinnati Red. However, he was a big regression candidate in my mind before the season began and still is despite that nice start. In 2016, he was a bit unlucky and pitched to an ugly 4.57 ERA. That luck turned around in a big way last year, as his sub-3 ERA was far better than some of the advanced metrics suggested it should have been. He’s in line to at least keep those strong numbers going today as he has a solid track record vs. the Mets and the breeze is blowing in. – Mark Gallant
Bounce Back: The Nats have lost three straight. Home teams on a losing streak of three or more games have gone 531-350 (60%) in their next home game since 2005. If they are favored, the record improves to 458-267 (63%) straight-up since 2005. – John Ewing