We’re entering our second full week of MLB, and two trends have paid off so far for sharp bettors: road dogs and divisional dogs. So far, road dogs have gone 37-41 (47.4%), +10.79 units, while home dogs have gone 22-35 (38.6%), -5.88 units won. Meanwhile, dogs within the division have gone 40-44 (47.6%), +10.28 units, while dogs outside the division have gone 19-32 (37.3%), -5.49 units. This lines up pretty well with their historical performance.
After analyzing Monday’s 13-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05, 8:10 and 10:15 p.m. ET.
All data as of 4 p.m. ET
Cincinnati Reds (+122) at Philadelphia Phillies
7:05 p.m. ET
The public wants nothing to do with the 2-6 Reds, but wiseguys see a buy-low value play betting against Gape Kapler’s Phils. Cincinnati is getting only 32% of bets but 65% of dollars. This massive bets vs. dollars discrepancy indicates smart money on the road dog. Sharps hit Cincy three separate times: +129 at Pinnacle, +122 at 5Dimes and +135 at BetOnline. This overload of smart money caused market-wide reverse line movement in favor of the Reds (+135 down to +122).