Robinson Chirinos and Jean Segura. Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Wiseguys got back to their winning ways on Wednesday. They cashed both dog plays (Mets +138 and Rays +126) en route to a 2-1 day (+1.64 units). Wednesday marked a huge day for contrarian bettors overall. Dogs went 9-6 (+7.56 units) and teams getting fewer than 40% of bets went 6-2 (+8 units). This comes on the heels of an unprecedented two-week stretch when public favorites went an absurd 34-12 (73.9%). Regression baby!
After analyzing Thursday’s slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05 p.m., 7:35 p.m., 8:10 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET
Data as of 4:30 p.m. ET
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (+158)
7:05 p.m. ET
The Yankees are 35-17 and the Orioles are 17-39. That’s all the public needs to know. However, despite 72% of bets laying the big minus number on New York, the Yankees have fallen from -187 to -172, indicating sharp reverse line movement on Baltimore. Wiseguys at the Greek hit the O’s +163 early, then sharps at SIA hammered Baltimore +155. The Orioles also enjoy a profitable bets (28%) vs. dollars (40%) discrepancy and are a divisional dog with a high total (10.5), a profitable spot since 2005.