Wednesday Sharp Report: Pros Hitting 2 MLB Dogs, 1 Total


Seattle Mariners starting pitcher James Paxton. Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

May 30, 2018, 12:11 PM EDT

Wiseguys swung and missed on Tuesday, losing all three of their moneyline plays (Orioles -113, Athletics -104 and Dodgers -173). Pro players are enduring an epic cold streak, while public players have never been hotter. Over the past two weeks, favorites getting more than 70% bets have gone 34-12 (73.9%), including 12-1 over the past five days. This is unprecedented.

As bad as it’s been for the wiseguys, they know historical trends are behind them. So they’ll stay the course and stick to the blueprint, knowing that regression is on its way.

After analyzing Wednesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05 p.m., 10:05 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET

Data as of 4:30 p.m. ET

New York Mets (+138) at Atlanta Braves

7:05 p.m. ET

The Mets blew two separate four-run leads against Atlanta last night (4-0 and 6-2), suffering a back-breaking 7-6 loss. But wiseguys like them to bounce back tonight. New York is getting only 22% of bets. Meanwhile, they’ve fallen from +161 to +138 since opening, indicating sharp reverse line movement in their favor (35% of dollars). Pro players at Pinnacle got down hard on Mets +163 and +170, triggering a pair of sharp bet signals. New York is also a road divisional dog with a high total, a profitable spot since 2005.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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