It’s been an up-and-down start to the MLB season for public bettors. To this point, teams receiving more than 50% of bets are 28-21, but since the public tends to back favorites, they’ve actually come out down 0.3 units.
Using our bets and dollar percentage data, let’s take a look at the three most popular games on today’s board.
Chicago Cubs (-141) at Cincinnati Reds
4:10 pm ET
The Cubs are the most popular play on the board tonight, with 80% of bettors behind them. This line hasn’t changed much since it opened, though, as Chicago has moved just a hair at Bookmaker from -140 to -141.
Why the public loves Chicago: Bettors’ expectations for the Cubs are high this season. With no World Series hangover to hold them back, Chicago should see the majority of bets in most of their games this season…especially when they’re playing the Reds.
Houston Astros (-210) vs. Baltimore Orioles
7:10 p.m. ET
The defending champs are the biggest favorite on the board tonight, but that hasn’t kept bettors away from Houston. Seventy-seven percent of bets and 88% of dollars are behind them, holding the line steady at -210.
Why the public loves Houston: The ‘Stros have picked up from where they left off last season, winning three of their first four. Playing an Orioles team with relatively low expectations this season (77.5 wins), it’s no surprise that the public is willing to pay a steep price for Houston.
Boston Red Sox (-140) at Miami Marlins
7:10 p.m. ET
The Sox are the third-most popular team on the board, attracting 74% of bettors, but this game features one of the highest bets vs. money discrepancies tonight. With 83% of moneyline dollars on Miami, the Marlins’ line has dropped from +145 to +126.
Why the public loves Boston: Another team that sees the majority of bets on most nights, the Red Sox are hot. After dropping their first game to Tampa, they closed the series with three straight wins to jump into first place in the American League East.
Photo: Right to left: Brock Holt, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley Jr.