Betting odds: St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals
- Over/Under: 7.5
- First Pitch: 1:05 p.m. ET
- Probable Pitchers: Jack Flaherty (8-6, 2.87 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (16-6, 2.22 ERA)
Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 88-59-3, +22.75 units
Yesterday’s Result: Twins-Rangers Under 11.5, Moya vs. Mendez (loss)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit
Every potential pitcher’s duel has different types of ingredients going into it. In this one, it’s a perennial NL Cy Young candidate — who is once again one of the frontrunners for the award this season — taking on a very polished and talented youngster who looks like he could be a frontline starter for years to come.
Will it live up to the hype?
Yes, I think it will. In one dugout, you literally have one of the most reliable and consistent pitchers in the game in Scherzer. While his club’s playoff hopes are fading, the 34-year-old is chasing another Cy Young Award, something he admittedly cares about.
Thus, this can be an important start for Scherzer toward attaining that honor (he can also potentially keep the Nats’ playoff hopes above life support).
Although Scherzer’s last start was pretty off by his standards, as he gave up three runs to the Phillies in only five innings of work, he was in the midst of quite the stretch before that, posting a 2.13 ERA and .549 OPS against in 16 starts from May 30th through August 23rd.
It should also help that St. Louis does not have some of its dangerous regulars, such as Yadier Molina and Jose Martinez, in the batting order this afternoon.
Flaherty has also been crafting an extraordinary extensive run, and the difference between his and Scherzer’s stretch is that his is still going.
All five of Flaherty’s outings in August went down as quality starts, and he finished the month with a 1.13 ERA, 0.72 WHIP and .136 batting average against.
Don’t expect him to suddenly let up with his team in the thick of a tight postseason race.
We’ll also be relying on his intriguing daytime splits, as he’s looked much like an afternoon guy during his first full year in the majors. In seven starts under blue skies, Flaherty is 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .173 BAA.
Make sure you get this under bet in as soon as you can, as it may not remain at 7.5 leading up to first pitch.
Play: UNDER 7.5 (-125)