Public bettors watched all of their Friday winnings disappear last night, as the three most popular MLB plays on Saturday went just 1-2, with the only win coming on the -210 Red Sox.
At this point in the year, though, it doesn’t really seem to matter how high these lines get, the public will strictly take better teams and hope to sweep their plays.
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New York Yankees (-250) vs. Toronto Blue Jays
1:05 p.m. ET
The Yankees are approaching the 80-mark this afternoon, attracting 79% of bettors to this point. Those bettors do account for 89% of dollars, however, which has moved the Yanks from -230 to -250.
Why the public loves the Yankees: On top of the obvious difference in strength of lineup between these AL East teams, J.A. Happ will be starting for the Yanks against his former team. Happ has been great in pinstripes so far, allowing only four earned runs in 19 innings pitched over his first three starts.
Cleveland Indians (-270) vs. Baltimore Orioles
1:10 p.m. ET
The Indians are both the biggest favorites and the most heavily bet team today, which gives an idea of just how much the public loves favorites this time of year. They’ve attracted 87% of bets and 85% of dollars and have moved from -260 to -270.
Why the public loves Cleveland: This one shouldn’t need much explanation. The Indians are 70-52; The O’s are 37-86. Who’d you expect the public to take?
One factor that makes Cleveland specifically appealing today, though, is the result of last night’s game. With the Orioles taking Game 2 of this three-game series, the public will think Cleveland is even more likely to win today, as there’s no way they could possibly lose a series to the worst team in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks (-196) at San Diego
4:10 p.m. ET
The D-backs are also attracting 87% of bettors this afternoon, whose bets account for 82% of dollars. The Snakes have moved from -185 to -195.
Why the public loves Arizona: In a near identical spot to Cleveland, Arizona is coming off a loss to the worst team in the NL, so it’s no surprise to see bettors piling on. They’re also playing behind a public favorite in Zack Greinke, who’s had less than half of bettors on his side in only two games this year.