Sharp Bettors Hitting Over/Under at Windy Wrigley Field
Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chicago Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo (44)
- The wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field today for the Brewers-Cubs game (2:20 p.m. ET, MLB Network).
- Oddsmakers were late to open the over/under as a result, and sharps were all over the early line.
As is tradition, oddsmakers waited until about 9:30 a.m. ET to post an over/under at Wrigley Field for today’s Brewers-Cubs game. Wrigley Field is special like that. It gets more attention from the oddsmakers than any other ballpark, but that’s because it’s impacted by weather more than any other ballpark.
Today, as has been the case a number of times this season, wind is blowing in from center field at the nation’s second-oldest ballpark. Generally speaking, we’ve seen over/unders open around 7 or 7.5 for games with the wind blowing in, but today it opened at a fairly lofty 8.5.
That didn’t last all too long.
Twenty-three minutes after opening, the total was steamed down to 8 across the market. There’s good reason why professional bettors are on the under, too. If we check Bet Labs for similar situations historically, we can see that the under has a 101-72-12 (58.4%) record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in.
However, when the oddsmakers set a bit of a higher bar, it does even better, as unders are 55-26-9 (67.9%) when the total closes at 8 or higher.
Our betting percentages also show that despite less than 50% of bets, the under is getting nearly 90% of the early money flow.