- The over/under in the Brewers-Rockies game (4:37 p.m. ET) has dropped from 9.5 to 9 since opening, making it the lowest total at Coors since September of last year.
- A steam move on the under at the sharp offshore book Buckeye helped cause the total to drop earlier this afternoon.
- Though sharp action was on the under at 9.5, overs have fared well historically at Coors in games with a total of 9 or lower.
This afternoon, the Rockies will be holding on for dear life at mile high in the sky when they host the Brewers in a must-win Game 3. German Marquez will be going for the Rockies, while the southpaw Wade Miley is on the hill for Milwaukee.
Rockies fans will be happy to know that Colorado has gone from -145 to -162 since opening behind 75% of moneyline dollars. What’s more interesting, however, is the over/under.
After opening at 9.5, a steam move triggered by the sharp offshore sportsbook Buckeye has pushed the total down to 9.
This is relatively high for a postseason game if it were to be played at a normal ballpark, but it’s quite low for Coors Field. In fact, it is lowest it’s been at Coors Field all season.
The last time a total of 9 was registered at Colorado was September 30th of last season. This is just the 5th time the total has been 9 or lower since 2015.
Perhaps the weather is to blame for this sharp action, as temperatures in the mid-50s will be accompanied by a breeze blowing in from right-center. Though it looks crappy on paper, the Weather Rating at FantasyLabs, which factors in elevation, humidity and air pressure as well as traditional weather metrics, is still a gaudy 77 out of 100.
Historically, the over has gone 102-79-10 at Coors Field with totals of 9 or lower. It’s important to note that Coors’ spacious outfield is also a large reason why so many runs are scored there, not just the altitude.