Cincinnati Reds 2019 Betting Odds, Preview: Bringing Parity Back to Baseball
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jesse Winker.
- Unlike other underperforming teams, the Reds have made several offseason additions and appear to be much improved heading into 2019.
- Sonny Gray, Alex Wood and Tanner Roark will be thrown into their rotation, which had no starters last year with a sub-4 ERA.
- Their offense has gotten even deeper with the addition of Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp, but new manager David Bell will have a tough time juggling playing time among position players -- especially the outfield.
Original analysis published on Feb. 27.
The Cincinnati Reds picked an odd time to add a bunch of players, but I like it. We need fewer teams tanking and more parity in this league!
Last season featured the elite and the terrible, with not much in between. With underperforming teams from 2018 like the Reds and Padres making moves and improving, there’s more of a middle ground.
Wins will be tough to come by in the NL Central, but no opposing pitching staff will want to face the 2019 Redlegs.
2018 Cincinnati Reds Results
- Record: 67-95 (-14.9 units), 87-74 ATS (+0.3 units)
- Over/Under Record: 77-78-6
- Preseason World Series Odds: 300-1
- Win Total: 74
- Most Profitable Starter: Sal Romano (13-12, +3.7 units)
Not all records add up to 162 games due to rain-shortened game.
With only 67 wins, the Reds were a well-below average club but super-terrible teams like the Royals and Orioles were still well below Cincinnati in the overall league standings.
The Reds’ lack of success in 2018 can be largely attributed to their terrible starting rotation. Of the six pitchers that made 20 or more starts, the best of the group was Luis Castillo and his 4.30 ERA. Sal Romano (5.48) and Homer Bailey (6.09) were particularly terrible.
Luckily Bailey is now gone while Romano appears to have been bumped out of his spot in the rotation thanks to the team’s new additions.
2019 Cincinnati Reds Odds
- World Series Odds: +8000
- Division Odds: +1000
- Win Total O/U: 78.5
- Playoff Odds: Make +425, Miss -600
The Reds made a real nice trade with the Dodgers when they acquired Alex Wood, Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp and Kyle Farmer in exchange for Homer Bailey and two prospects. The Reds bolstered their lineup, got some catching depth, acquired a pitcher with a career ERA of 3.29 and FIP of 3.36 and got rid of one of the worst pitchers in the league.
My one concern is that the Reds actually have too many good outfielders now. At least too many that are good at hitting.