Dodgers-Rockies Betting Preview: How To Bet Clayton Kershaw’s Highest Career Over/Under
Credit: Jon Durr-USA TODAY Sports
- Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) face the Colorado Rockies on Saturday at Coors Field (8:15 p.m. ET).
- The over/under for Saturday night's matchup is 12.5, the highest total of Kershaw's career.
Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies
- Dodgers Moneyline: -145
- Rockies Moneyline: +135
- Over/Under: 12.5
- First Pitch: 8:15 p.m. ET
>> All odds as of Saturday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets
Clayton Kershaw has started a total of 353 games in his Hall-of-Fame career with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Prior to Saturday night on the road in Coors Field, Kershaw has never started a game with an over/under higher than 10.5, a mark he last hit three time in a 20-day span all the way back in 2009 — over ten years ago!
Saturday night will be just the sixth time in Kershaw’s career he will start a game with a total of 10 or higher, and he has not done so since May 17th, 2009, which was 324 starts ago.
In his previous five starts with a total of at least 10 runs, the over is 4-1, and the over has been exceeded by a whopping 2.3 runs per game.
All five of Kershaw’s starts with an over/under of 10 or higher have come on the road, and the Dodgers are just 1-4 in those games, losing by 2.6 runs per game.
Two of those five starts have come on the road at Coors Field, where the Rockies had a field day against Kershaw back in 2008 and 2009.
Clayton Kershaw vs. Rockies with Over/Under of 10 or Higher
- July 22, 2008: Kershaw allowed 10 hits and five earned runs in 3.0 IP, walking three batters and striking out just two hitters. Rockies won 10-1, totaling 18 hits in the win.
- April 26, 2009: Kershaw allowed eight hits and nine earned runs in 4.2 IP, walking four batters and striking out four hitters. Rockies won 10-4, hitting two home runs off of Kershaw.
When bettors look specifically at how Kershaw has done in Colorado in his career, the Dodgers are 14-7 in his Coors starts.
The most impressive aspect of Kershaw’s 66.7% win percentage is how effective Los Angeles has been of late.
Since 2013, the Dodgers are 10-1 when Kershaw starts at Coors Field, winning by 3.9 runs per game. In that time, Kershaw has pitched in 26 different stadiums, and he has been the most profitable for bettors on the road in Colorado (+$495 for every $100 bet).
The biggest aspect of the Dodgers success at Coors Field is their ability to score runs. In Kershaw’s eleven Coors starts since 2013, the Dodgers have averaged seven runs per game.
In Kershaw’s career, he has a 4.57 ERA on the road against the Rockies, the highest of any opponent with a minimum of two games played against him.
Sometimes, starting pitcher success doesn’t always translate to cashing tickets.
The Dodgers are 30-10 (75%) in Kershaw’s 40 starts against the Rockies in his career, winning by 2.3 runs per game. Of the four teams in the NL West, the Rockies have been the most generous to Kershaw from a betting perspective (+$905 on a $100 per game basis).
In 2019, the over is 25-14 in 39 games at Coors Field. On Saturday night, can Clayton Kershaw find success on the road in Coors Field?