MLB Odds and Picks: Betting Predictions Indians vs. Twins (Sunday, August 2)
Photo credit: Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Donaldson
- Betting odds for Sunday's Indians vs. Twins game (2:10 p.m. ET) have the Twins as slight -111 favorites with the total set at 9.5.
- Aaron Civale will be pitching for the Indians, while Tyler Clippard goes for the Twins.
- Below you'll find a full preview of the matchup, including a projected score and a pick on the moneyline.
Indians vs. Twins Odds, Picks
|Indians odds||-101 [BET NOW]|
|Twins odds||-111 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||9.5 (-115/-105) [BET NOW]|
|Time||2:10 p.m. ET|
The Twins will look to take three of four from their AL Central rivals Sunday, as a win would see them gain a 2.5-game early cushion in the division.
It’s surprisingly been the Twins pitching staff that has been the story of this series. They’ve allowed only three runs on 14 hits and will turn to their bullpen to get the job done Sunday.
These two teams are the favorites to win the AL Central, so in a 60-game sprint, this game will be crucial for future tie-breaker purposes.
Projected Lineup (via FantasyLabs)
Cleveland’s bats have been really quiet so far this series, collecting only 14 hits and posting a measly .154 batting average. However, this is nothing new to the Indians, who have just a .290 wOBA and 82 wRC+ to begin the season. They’ll now have to try to break out of their slump against a number of different looks from the Twins bullpen.
Indians Projected Starter
Aaron Civale, RHP
Projected Stats (ZIPS) (via Fangraphs)
Pitch Arsenal (via Baseball Savant)
Civale’s first start of 2019 was fairly decent; he gave up two earned on seven hits over six innings of work. One interesting note from the game: Civale threw his sinker one time, which is the pitch he threw most often in 2019. I’m not sure if it was a matchup thing or if he’s changed his whole approach to sequencing pitches, but it’s certainly something to keep an eye on.
He had an interesting first season in the Show. He posted a 2.34 ERA in 10 starts, but his xFIP was all the way up to 4.61, indicating he was a tad lucky in 2019. He’s mainly a sinker ball guy, with a nasty wipe-out slider. His slider was so good that opponents got just two hits off it in 124 pitches last season.
Civale doesn’t project out very well this season, with an ERA and FIP well over 4. Since we had such a small sample size last season, it’s hard to say if his stellar pitching performances will continue or if he will regress toward the mean.
The Twins last season ranked in the top-three in the league against cutters, sliders and curveballs. Therefore, Civale will have to utilize his sinker often, since that is the one pitch the Twins struggled with last season.
Projected Lineup (via FantasyLabs)
The Twins picked up right where they left off last season, smashing 12 home runs in their first eight games. The Twins were one of the best power-hitting lineups in 2019 and are even deeper with the addition of Josh Donaldson to a roster that hit a league-leading 307 dingers last year.
It’s tough to get through the Twins lineup with cutters, sliders and curveballs. They finished in the top-three in the league a season ago against each of those three pitches. Like I mentioned above, those are three of Civale’s main four pitches. I think the Twins should have no trouble with his stuff and hit it all over the yard.
Twins Projected Starter
Tyler Clippard, RHP
Rocco Baldelli announced Saturday night that Homer Bailey is being pushed back one day. Clippard will open the game, and the bullpen will take over from there.
The Twins are going to a bullpen that has been called on for just 11 innings in this series. So it makes sense why they are going to a bullpen game on Sunday.
The reason I have seven innings necessary above is because I am projecting Clippard to go two innings. To be honest, a Minnesota bullpen combination projects out way better than five-plus innings of Civale.
Projections and Pick
Even though the Twins are going to a bullpen game on Sunday, I think their lineup can carry them to victory. Therefore, I am going to back Minnesota at -111 and would bet it all the way up to -123.
The Pick: Twins -111 (would bet to -123)