Last night, there was a perfect 100 Weather Rating at Coors Field, but the D-backs’ and Rockies’ lineups remained relatively quiet for the occasion, putting up just eight runs and falling three runs short of the 11 total.
Tonight, they get a chance at redemption. Because Shelby Miller and German Marquez are starting, bettors have a much different feeling about this one, as 68% took under 11 yesterday and over 70% are on the over (11.5) today.
Our Weather Rating distills the hitter-friendliness for a particular game into one number. It is a proprietary Fantasy Labs model and shown on a scale of 0 to 100. The Weather Rating does not account for potential rainouts; rather, it simply examines all relevant atmospheric conditions (temperature, altitude, wind speed, humidity, and so on) to determine how many home runs are likely to be hit in a given game.
Highest Weather Ratings
- Diamondbacks at Rockies: 100
- Mariners at Angels: 63
- Blue Jays at Braves: 61
What else can I say? Coors Field should live up to its reputation tonight if the hitters can get the ball in the air. Don’t be a hero and try to show up Mother Nature two nights in a row.
We have a rare instance of Los Angeles making the top three (albeit on a smaller night slate) thanks to temperatures in the 80s and the wind blowing out. Bets are split about 60-40 on the total in favor of the over, but there’s been literally no line movement at BookMaker.
Even though similar, yet warmer, conditions in Atlanta lands that game in the top three as well, there has been sharp action on the under in that game. Nearly 75% of dollars are on the under, and the total has dropped from 9 to 8.5 since opening.
Lowest Weather Ratings
- Rangers at Red Sox: 33
- Reds at Indians: 41
- Cardinals at White Sox: 42
The past couple of nights have yielded some favorable hitting conditions in Boston, also known as the Windy City of the North. However, some rain late last night helped move out the hot and humid weather system and replace it with some cooler, dryer air. Trust me, I live in the Boston area and have stepped outside today … much nicer. Even though it’s nicer for me, it’s not going to be nicer to bats at Fenway. The temperature will be in the low 70s with the wind blowing in, which has caused the Weather Rating to basically cut itself in half since yesterday.
Cleveland and Chicago will have very similar conditions, with temps in the 70s and non-favorable winds for hitters. The Cleveland total has remained at 9 since opening, while Chicago has actually seen sharp action on the over, rising from 9 to 9.5 despite bets being split 50/50.
Last night, one of the two games with a shot of rain did indeed begin with a rain delay. Tonight, there are two more games with chances of rain.
- Blue Jays at Braves
- Phillies at Mets
Atlanta will have isolated T-storms in the area, which can be unpredictable as to exactly where and when they will hit. New York probably won’t see any thunder and lightning but could have some rain showers. I’m not really worried about this one.