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MLB Betting Odds, Line Movement, Sharp Action: Cubs vs. Reds (Friday, Aug. 28)

MLB Betting Odds, Line Movement, Sharp Action: Cubs vs. Reds (Friday, Aug. 28) article feature image

Ron Schwane/Getty Images. Pictured: Kyle Hendricks

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Odds

Cubs Odds -128 [Bet Now in Illinois!]
Reds Odds +112 [Bet Now]
Over/Under 9 (-110/-110) [Bet Now]
First Pitch 7:10 p.m. ET

Odds as of Friday at 3:40 p.m. ET and via FanDuel. Get up to a $500 risk-free bet at FanDuel today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

As relatively short favorites against a Cincinnati Reds club that is five games back in the Central division, the Chicago Cubs are understandably the preferred side for most bettors tonight. Sixty-nine percent of moneyline tickets are landing on the Cubbies, but perhaps expecting that, oddsmakers haven’t really moved off their opening numbers.

That is, off their opening moneyline numbers.

The over/under has been a more interesting story.

Cubs vs. Reds Sharp Betting Report

This total opened at 9.5 across most of the market, including at FanDuel. And while it has produced a balanced betting split (50% per side), it’s fallen by a half-run throughout the day.

Helping to explain that has been the percentage of actual money hitting each side of the number.

While the over and under have attracted an equal percentage of bets, the under has dominated the split of actual money to this point. Eight-five percent of the loot hitting this total has landed on the under.

Of course, that’s going to catch sportsbooks’ attention as it creates a monetary liability, but just as important is what it hints at regarding sharp action. Since sharp bettors are more likely to be the ones making big bets, such a discrepancy between bets and money suggests that the pros are among those taking the under.

Also worth noting: the most recent Sports Insights Bet Signal triggered on this game came in the form of a steam move on the under. Steam refers to a sudden, market-wide line shift that comes as a result of heavy amount of money hitting one side of a bet over a short period of time. As such, it’s one of the strongest indicators of sharp action.

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 9.5 to 9) [Bet Now at FanDuel. Now operating in Illinois!]

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