Giants vs. Diamondbacks Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Sunday, August 30)
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike Yastrzemski.
- Check out our betting preview for Sunday's MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks
- Read on for Brad Cunningham's full game breakdown, including updated odds, picks and predictions for today's NL West matchup.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds
|Giants Odds||+107 [Bet Now]|
|Diamondbacks Odds||-124 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||9.5 (-104/-118) [Bet Now]|
|First Pitch||Sunday, 4:10 p.m. ET|
The Giants look to continue their good run of play as they send Johnny Cueto to the mound to take on Taylor Clarke and the Diamondbacks. Arizona is ice-cold right now, having lost nine of its last 10 games to drop to 14-20 on the season. The Diamondbacks need to turn things around quickly; otherwise, their season will be over.
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Giants Projected Lineup
San Francisco’s offense started the season slowly, but the Giants have really turned it on over the past two weeks. In San Francisco’s past 13 games, the Giants have hit 19 home runs, which has contributed to a .351 wOBA and 125 wRC+.
Mike Yastrzemski has been on fire this season, accumulating a .416 wOBA with seven home runs and 23 RBIs. San Francisco has been most successful against fastballs this season; that matches up well against Clarke, whose main pitch is his fastball.
Diamondbacks Probable Starter
Taylor Clarke, RHP
Projected Stats (ZIPS) (via Fangraphs)
Pitch Arsenal (via Baseball Savant)
Taylor Clarke is a below-average righty who has been going back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation. He’s mainly been pitching out of bullpen this year and has been a tad fortunate so far. Clarke has a 2.33 ERA — but an 4.50 xFIP — meaning he’s due for some negative regression.
Clarke primarily operated as a starting pitcher last season, but he wasn’t very effective in his 15 starts: He posted a 5.56 xFIP along with a 2.44 HR/9 rate.
Clarke’s fastball was his main issue, as hitters tagged it all around the park to the tune of a .418 wOBA. In fact, he allowed 17 home runs on his fastball in 2019.
That bodes ominously on Sunday against the Giants, who have been crushing home runs left and right over the past few weeks.
Both bullpens have been unmitigated disasters this season. Both teams’ relievers rank in the bottom-five of MLB in combined xFIP. No matter which team carries the lead into the final innings on Sunday, the game will be far from over.
Projections and Pick
Even though my projections point to value on the Giants moneyline, I want nothing to do with San Francisco’s bullpen right now. Instead, I am going to look at the Giants team total. Since I have 5.49 runs projected for San Francisco, I think there is value in taking the Giants over 4.5 runs at -105 (DraftKings).
Pick: Giants Team Total Over 4.5 (-105)