Harrison Bader. Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sport
- Sharp bettors went 1-2-1 with their Thursday plays and look to capitalize on three bets on Friday.
- Fridays are historically the best days of the week to fade the public.
- Sharps are getting down on three contrarian totals tonight.
Wiseguys cashed on their Cubs-Pirates under bet without a sweat, but pushed on the Rockies-Braves under and lost the Cardinals moneyline and the Angels-Rangers under to finish 1-2-1 with their Thursday plays.
Now it’s on to Friday. Historically, today is the best day of the week to fade the public. With recreational bettors wrapping up their work week (and getting their latest paychecks), average Joes are more likely to get down on games, specifically targeting favorites, home teams and overs. This leads to increased ticket counts and elevated contrarian value on dogs, road teams and unders.
After analyzing Friday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:05 p.m., 8:15 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET.
>> All data as of 2:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.