Betting Unders Immediately After MLB All-Star Break Has Been Profitable

Jul 18, 2018 12:37 PM EDT
Credit:

Jim Young-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chicago Cubs catcher Willson Contreras

  • Casual bettors love the over, and they flood the market right after the MLB All-Star break.
  • Unders have cashed at a strong rate, especially ones getting more than 50% of bets.

Baseball bettors have blue balls. I don’t mean to be crude, but the All-Star break has left MLB junkies jonesing for action.

With a full slate on Friday, casual bettors will release their pent-up frustration the only way they know how — by betting favorites and overs.

Fortunately for recreational gamblers, it has been profitable to bet the chalk in the first game after the All-Star break. However, that isn’t the case with the over.

Since 2005, in the first game of the second half, the over has gone 85-104-5 (45%), which has cost a $100 bettor $2,190. And popular overs — those getting more than 50% of tickets — have been even worse at 49-69-5 (42%).

One reason for this trend could be that teams can start their best pitchers after the break and have a rested bullpen, which should help limit the number of runs scored.

I’m not saying you can’t bet the over on Friday (this is a small sample). And for many life is too short to bet the under. Just don’t be surprised if the overs don’t cash immediately when baseball resumes.

How would you rate this article?
Follow John Ewing on Twitter
@johnewing

Top Stories