Sunday MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (Sept. 6)
Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Alex Young.
- The Diamondbacks take Alex Young to San Francisco to face the Giants and their red-hot offense
- With stellar play at the plate, the Giants team total provides value against Young and a depleted Arizona bullpen.
- Check out Brad Cunningham's full preview with updated odds below.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds
|Diamondbacks Odds||+125 [Bet Now]|
|Giants Odds||-155 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||9.5 (-106/-115) [Bet Now]|
|First Pitch||Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET|
The bottom of the NL West will meet in a rubber match, as Alex Young and the Diamondbacks take on Johnny Cueto and the Giants.
The Giants currently trail the Rockies by half a game for the eighth and final playoff spot. So, every game from here on out will be crucial for San Francisco if it wants to make the playoffs.
Check out our free MLB odds page, which automatically surfaces the best line for every game.
Diamondbacks Probable Starter
Alex Young, RHP
Projected & Actual Stats (ZIPS) (via Fangraphs)
Pitch Arsenal (via Baseball Savant)
Young has been in and out of the bullpen this season, starting four times and making seven relief appearances. He hasn’t been very effective, as his ERA and xFIP are above 4.50. He’s a soft-tossing lefty with a full arsenal of pitches, but the only two that are effective are his changeup and curveball. Every other pitch has allowed a wOBA above .340 both in 2019 and this season.
His biggest issue this season has been giving up the long ball. His HR/9 rate is all the way up at 2.25. That’ll be welcoming news to the Giants, who have the second-most home runs off of left-handers this season.
Giants Projected Lineup
The Giants have been the hottest offense in MLB over the past two weeks. In their last 11 games, they’ve have hit 17 home runs, which has contributed to a .377 wOBA and 140 wRC+. Mike Yastrzemski has absolutely been on fire this season, accumulating a .418 wOBA with eight home runs and 32 RBIs.
Most of the Giants’ success this season has come against left-handed pitching. They have a .353 wOBA and 124 wRC+, which ranks sixth in MLB. San Francisco should have no trouble keeping its red-hot offense going against Young.
The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has struggled mightily this season, recording a 5.00 ERA. Arizona’s relievers have combined for a 4.83 xFIP, which ranks in the bottom five of MLB. It’s also important to note the Diamondbacks dealt Archie Bradley and Andrew Chafin — their best relievers — at the trade deadline, so the Giants should be able to feast on their depleted bullpen.
Projections and Pick
Given how good the Giants have been against left-handed pitching and how bad the D-backs’ bullpen currently is, I think this is a good opportunity to take the Giants team total. Since I have 5.41 runs projected for the Giants, I think there’s some value on their team total of Over 4.5 runs at -130 (DraftKings).
Pick: Giants Team Total Over 4.5 (-130)