Wednesday MLB PRO Report Pick: Sharps, Systems Aligned on Twins vs. White Sox (Sept. 16)
Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Donaldson
- The White Sox opened as -155 favorites against the Twins tonight, but the line has dropped to -145.
- Using our MLB PRO Report, Danny Donahue explains why bettors are finding value with Minnesota.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds
|Twins Odds||+135 [DraftKings]|
|White Sox Odds||-145 [William Hill]|
|Time||8:10 p.m. ET|
Going for their third-consecutive win over the Twins, and seventh straight overall, the White Sox opened as -155 favorites for tonight’s matchup. And with Lucas Giolito on the hill — facing a team that’s scored three runs over the first two games this series — the Sox have had no trouble attracting bets, even at a minus-money price.
Since it became available, this game has drawn 71% of its moneyline bettors to Chicago.
But as the day has carried on, the line has gradually settled at a cheaper White Sox price. William Hill, for example, is down to -145 for the favorites.
Our brand new MLB PRO Report helps explain why.
Twins vs. White Sox PRO Report
Thanks to some big bets from sharp bettors landing on the Twins, sportsbooks have been forced to move this line away from the popular side. And according to one of our PRO betting systems, there’s reason to believe the Twins are in a profitable spot tonight.
Sports Insights Bet Signals serve as our indicator for measuring sharp action, and they’ve shown an edge to the Twins. Three signals — which are triggered by specific instances of market movement that come as a result of sharp action — have popped on Minnesota.
Sharp Action edge: Twins
Another sign that the sharps are backing the underdogs? The 29% of bettors taking the Twins have generated an impressive 57% of actual cash hitting this moneyline. And while big bets can technically come from anyone, over a large sample they’re far more likely to come from sharp bettors, so a major discrepancy such as this is a pretty strong hint toward the pro side.
Big Money edge: Twins
If you’re looking to follow the lead of the big spenders, our PRO Systems suggest there’s reason to like the Twins situation tonight. Because of their mini losing streak and superior opponent, the Twins are a match for our “Contrarian Betting Against Good Team” system, which has produced a 12% ROI on a sample of more than 1,200 games.
PRO Systems edge: Twins