Wednesday Sharp Report: Pros Betting Nationals-Yankees, Rangers-Dodgers
Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Kenta Maeda
Wiseguys had another profitable day on Tuesday. They cashed two of their three dog plays (Marlins +104 and White Sox +125) for +1.29 units won. After a brutal start to the MLB season in which public favorites have cashed at a historic rate, wiseguys hope this marks the beginning of the regression wave.
After analyzing Wednesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:05 p.m., 8:15 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET.
Data as of 2:45 p.m. ET
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Over 8.5
7:05 p.m. ET
It’s a misconception that sharps and squares are always on different sides. Although it’s somewhat rare, it does happen. Take this total, for instance. The Over is getting 72% of bets but 80% of dollars, indicating both public and smart money.
Washington Nationals (+161) at New York Yankees
7:05 p.m. ET
The Yankees blanked the Nationals, 3-0, in the series opener last night. Sharps like Washington to bounce back tonight. The Nats are getting only 34% bets but 53% of dollars, indicating smart money in their favor. The line has also moved their way (+186 to +161).
Cincinnati Reds (-123) at Kansas City Royals
8:15 p.m. ET
Something about those Redlegs. The wiseguys just can’t lay off. As soon as the line came out, pros at Pinnacle steamed Reds -107. An hour later, they hit Cincy again at -116.
The Reds are getting 55% of bets but 67% dollars and have moved from -106 to -123. Normally, 55% bets won’t push a line 15+ cents, so this movement was definitely wiseguy smart money. Cincinnati also fits the profitable Bad Team After Win Bet Labs system (+174.07 units since 2005).
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7.5
10:10 p.m. ET
The Rangers and Dodgers combined for 17 runs last night. With both teams swinging hot bats and such a low total tonight, it has to be another Over, right? Not so fast. The Over is getting nearly 75% of bets but only 54% of dollars, indicating it’s coming from mostly Average Joes.
The Under 7.5 is juiced up to -115 across the market, indicating it may even fall to 7.
Remember: the betting market is fluid. Data changes as more action comes in. For updated odds and percentages, be sure to check out the Action Network MLB betting trends page.
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