Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 11: Can Blue Jays Slug Their Way Past Tanaka, Yankees?

Aug 11, 2019 11:56 AM EDT
Credit:

Steve Flynn, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Masahiro Tanaka

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including how to bet Blue Jays-Yankees (1:07 p.m. ET) and Athletics-White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

The Blue Jays (49-71) have a chance to win a four-game series against the Yankees (76-41) on Sunday, as they continue to play solid baseball since the beginning of June (18-18, +22 run differential).

They will face Masahiro Tanaka, who has been hit extremely hard in his past three starts (12.2 IP, 27 H, 19 R, 3 HR, 8 BB, 12 K), but they are countering with an inconsistent arm of their own in Trent Thornton (5.55 ERA, 4.90 FIP, 5.11 xFIP).

Can the Blue Jays beat Tanaka for the second time this season and finally get to 50 wins on the year?

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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