MLB Daily Betting Model, 6/12: Can Lance Lynn, Rangers, Clinch Series Win vs. Red Sox?

Jun 12, 2019 12:11 PM EDT

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rangers pitcher Lance Lynn

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes the full slate of games on June 12 with his model below and highlights Rangers-Red Sox (4:05 p.m. ET) as a potential edge.
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

After destroying Triple-A, rookie Yordan Alvarez continues to search for a promotion to a level of baseball higher than Major League Baseball. For now, the Astros will have to do:

That ball was at his ankles.

Tampa’s Brandon Lowe (14 HR, .884 OPS) has been the leading rookie hitter in the American League this season..

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (7 HR, .747 OPS), was everybody’s choice for AL Rookie of the Year coming into the year, but he has struggled so far. Other leading contender Eloy Jimenez (9 HR, .741 OPS) has also yet to hit his stride for the White Sox.

Yordan Alvarez has plenty of season left to steal the award.

Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model

At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 2-2 against full-game moneylines and 2-3 against first-five innings moneylines (F5).

My tracked plays went 3-7, and I finished down 2.46 units for the day.


It was a mixed day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV).

I gained 16 cents against moneylines and spreads, missing on two games by as much as 13 cents — but also gained 28 cents against totals and saw one Under move down from 9.0 to 8.5.

MLB Betting Model for Wednesday, June 12

All odds as of Wednesday morning (view live MLB odds). Stay tuned on Twitter or follow me in The Action Network App for my entire betting card for Wednesday.

Today, the model recommends three full-game moneylines and four moneylines for the first-five innings (F5).

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter

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