MLB Player Props: Can Andrew Cashner Punch Out 5 Yankees?
Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Andrew Cashner.
- Using the FantasyLabs Player Prop model, we've found value on the strikeout over/under for Andrew Cashner.
- Cashner has increased his strikeout totals this season, causing oddsmakers to post a higher line than usual.
Three of the first six strikeout prop picks I wrote about were pushes. Then there were zero pushes for about a month and a half…until last night.
When I went to bed, Yusei Kikuchi had just struck the side out in the third inning to get to four strikeouts. I tossed and turned all night and literally had a dream that he went over his total of 5, but I was at least somewhat refreshed when I woke up to see that he failed to strike out anyone in his final 2.2 innings to wind up with a push.
Tonight we have a push-less scenario. We’ll either win or lose. I don’t think I’m telling any tales out of school when I say I’d like to win.
MLB Player Props: Tuesday, May 14
Our FantasyLabs MLB Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. View live odds for individual games here.
Orioles SP Andrew Cashner
Andrew “Cash Money” Cashner has been rewarding those with faith in him and the Orioles this season. This Yukon Cornelius with a mullet-looking son of a gun has been the third-most profitable starting pitcher to bet on this year despite the Orioles losing his past two starts.
He’s also been striking fellows out lately, something that is out of the norm for him. In 2017 and 2018, Cashner struck out just 185 batters over 319.2 innings — a mere 5.21 K/9. Over his past four starts, he’s sat down 24 batters via the K in 22 innings. This strikeout outburst of sorts has elevated his 2019 K/9 to 7.02…which is still not good.
Tonight, as a result of his recent success, he has a strikeout over/under of 4.5 — the highest it’s been all year. He’s primarily sat at 3.5, with a couple of 3s and a 4 mixed in there.
It’s time to sell high on Cashner against the Bronx Bombers tonight. Though Cashner has punched out at least five batters in four straight starts, it’s something he managed just 10 times in the 60 starts prior to his current streak dating back to the start of the 2017 season.
The Yankees’ lineup is banged up, but keep in mind that some of their best hitters are also the ones who strike out the most. We’re projecting 3.3 strikeouts for Cashner, while the juice on his prop implies he will strike out 5.0. I would bet this under down into the -125 range.
The Pick: Under 4.5 (+100)