MLB Player Props: Can Chris Archer Fan 6 Dodgers?
Photo credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Archer
- Justin Bailey highlights an intriguing player prop for Sunday's MLB slate, focusing on Pirates SP Chris Archer's strikeouts vs. the Dodgers.
Saturday’s 15-game slate has come and gone, and Sunday’s 15-game slate is up next. Let’s hope for another profitable weekend.
Below is my favorite strikeout prop of the day.
MLB Player Props: Sunday, May 26
- Dodgers at Pirates: 1:35 p.m. ET
Our FantasyLabs MLB Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of Sunday morning. View live odds here.
Pirates SP Chris Archer
The Pick: Under 5.5 strikeouts (+120)
With +120 odds, the under is extremely enticing on this prop, especially considering how mediocre Archer has been this season.
Through seven starts, he’s pitching to a 5.08 xFIP with a weak 12.1% K-BB%. And over his past four starts, he’s failed to strike out more than five hitters.
Today could prove to be especially challenging against a projected Dodgers lineup that has a low 21.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months, along with a solid .337 wOBA over the same time frame.
Furthermore, the Dodgers have smashed right-handers this season, sporting the fifth-ranked offense in team ISO and third-ranked offense in wRC+.
Archer’s 11.5% walk rate this year certainly won’t help, either. I like the under to -115 against a team that smashes righties and has a low strikeout rate.