Yesterday marked the end of a four-day losing streak for the top-three public plays as the Indians, Braves and Blue Jays all won. It didn’t come without a sweat, though, as all were losing in the early going.
Today, the public is on three medium-sized favorites facing poor opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies (-153) vs. New York Mets (Game 2)
7:35 p.m. ET
The Mets and Phillies have a little back-to-back action going on, and the public is right around 70% on Philly for both, with game two having the slight advantage.
Why the public loves Philly: The Mets are coming off a huge win (vs. Baltimore) and have actually won six of their past 10, but at this point of the season, most bettors have made up their mind about them.
They stink. Philly is coming off a noteworthy win of its own over the Red Sox and is throwing Zach Eflin in game two.
The 24-year-old pitcher has a solid ERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9 … you name it. He’s checking off a lot of boxes, and the Mets’ moneyline just isn’t juicy enough for bettors to fade him tonight.
Toronto Blue Jays (-129) at Kansas City Royals
8:15 p.m. ET
Sam Gaviglio and the Jays hope to grab their third straight win in Kansas City and are facing Glenn Sparkman, who is making his first career start. Sparkman made his MLB debut last year as a Blue Jay, allowing seven earned runs in one inning over two relief appearances.
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Why the public loves Toronto: When you have a .300 winning percentage on the nose and the calendar reads mid-August, there’s not too many spots in which bettors aren’t fading you … hard.
The Royals managed to win the opener of this four-game series, but 79% of bettors think that’s all they’ll manage against the Jays — who aren’t that great themselves.
Arizona Diamondbacks (-144) at San Diego Padres
10:10 p.m. ET
The D-backs are currently getting a crazy 88% of bets, by far and away the highest of the day. Clay Buchholz will be taking on Jacob Nix, who’s making just his second career start.
Why the public loves Arizona: Arizona is first in the NL West, while San Diego is last.
At just -144, bettors don’t need to lay a huge price to bet on a far superior team taking on a 22-year-old kid. More often than not, the public will prefer Arizona’s spot regardless of the line.