Sunday was another 2-1 day for public bettors, but once again, it didn’t lead to a profit. This time, in fact, they lost about one-third of a unit on their top plays because of the high prices.
Despite the losses, the public has hammered three relatively heavy favorites once again this evening.
>> All odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets
Cleveland Indians (-180) at Cincinnati Reds
7:10 p.m. ET
The Indians are tonight’s second-most popular side, getting 84% of bets to this point. They’ve landed only 62% of dollars, but have still moved from -160 to -180.
Why the public loves Cleveland: Homer Bailey has been a nightmare for bettors this season. The Reds are 1-14 in his starts, losing 12.5 units for a -83% return on investment. With that in mind, it shouldn’t really come as a surprise to see bettors fading him at every possible opportunity.
Atlanta Braves (-230) vs. Miami Marlins
7:35 p.m. (Game 2)
The Braves are the largest favorite on the board tonight, but that hasn’t deterred 77% of bettors from backing them. They’ve received only 63% of dollars, which may be the reason they’ve remained at their opening line.
Why the public loves Atlanta: All-Star Mike Foltynewicz takes the mound for the Braves tonight. His 2.98 ERA is sixth in the National League, and he’ll face the worst run-producing offense in the NL. The Marlins have also lost 10 of their past 12, and at the time of publication, were down 8-1 in the seventh inning of Game 1 of today’s doubleheader.
Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) at Texas Rangers
8:05 p.m. ET
Eighty-six percent of bettors behind Arizona have made the D-backs tonight’s most popular team. Their line ranges around the market, but they’ve moved from -170 to -175 at BookMaker.eu behind 80% of dollars.
Why the public loves Arizona: Zack Greinke vs. Bartolo Colon is pretty much all a public bettor needs to see to make a decision here. Greinke enters this game with a 2.89 ERA, the fifth-lowest in the NL. Colon, on the other hand, has posted a 5.18 ERA this season.