MLB Sharp Report: Pros Expecting a Low-Scoring Tuesday Night
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Aaron Hicks
- With no football until Thursday, sharp action has hit the MLB slate for four games.
- Interestingly, each of tonight's sharpest angles comes on an under.
A 1-2 Labor Day left MLB sharp bettors in the hole about 0.9 units. Tonight, with football on the backburner until Thursday, sharp action is sprinkled throughout the baseball slate, leading to four plays on tonight’s sharp card ranging from 7 to 10 p.m. ET.
Interestingly, each one comes on an under.
>> All odds as of 4 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
7:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under 7
This total opened at 7.5, and several books even had the juice on the over at that number. It’s now down to 7 across the entire market, despite the under getting only 33% of bets.
As I’m sure you could’ve guessed, sharps are the reason for the line change. Two steam moves have come in on the under — one from Pinnacle and one from The Greek.
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
8:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under 8.5
In a nearly identical situation, the Tigers-ChiSox total opened at 9, but now finds itself listed at 8.5 across the market. It definitely isn’t the public that’s driving the number down, as only 40% of bettors are on the under.
However, those bettors do account for 47% of dollars wagered on the total, which indicates that sharps are likely among that minority.
Sure enough, we’ve tracked three steam moves on the under, and none on the over, which explains the half-run line move.
New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics
10:05 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under 8
I apologize for sounding like a broken record, but here we are again. In what’s shaping up to be a preview for the American League Wild Card Game, the total opened at 8.5. It’s since been bet down to 8, but again, it hasn’t been the popular side.
Only 21% of bettors have gone with the under in this game, but they account for 64% of dollars wagered. The under has also triggered two steam moves, one from 5Dimes and one from Pinnacle.
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
10:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under 7.5
You have to read this only one more time, I promise. The Orioles-Mariners total, like in all the above cases, has been bet downward despite a higher percentage of bets on the over. In this case, it’s gone from 8.5 to 7.5 despite 60% of bettors on the over.
The under has also been the cause of four steam moves, more than any other single bet on today’s slate.