MLB Sharp Report: Professional Money Moving 2 Friday Over/Unders
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Texas Rangers starting pitcher Mike Minor
- With casual bettors moving to football, sharps are still finding value with MLB.
- We detail two MLB over/unders attracting smart money on Friday.
While fall is quickly approaching, we don’t need a calendar to tell us that football season is in full swing.
A quick look at the paltry MLB ticket counts provides all the information we need, and this makes sense. When professional baseball is the only game in town, bettors have no choice but to look for MLB action.
However, now that football season has officially arrived, casual bettors are bailing on baseball. Sharps, on the other hand, don’t care about the season, game, sport, etc. — they’re only interested in value.
All odds as of Friday at 11 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
And tonight’s MLB slate provides a perfect example of this. Recreational bettors are basically ignoring it entirely, while professionals have already popped two of Friday’s over/unders.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians
7:10 p.m. ET | Drew Smyly (4-6, 6.22 ERA) vs. Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.26 ERA)
This game is a great example of how simply relying on opening and closing lines can be misleading. PointsBet opened the Phillies-Indians total at 9 and it currently sits at that exact number, including the vig.
However, a look at the line history shows that the over/under actually dipped to 8.5 late Thursday night, and that’s when sharps struck.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and report professional betting action in real-time, triggered a Steam Move on the over at 8.5, revealing why this total popped back up to the opener.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 8.5 to 9)
Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics
10:07 p.m. ET | Mike Minor (13-9, 3.33 ERA) vs. Mike Fiers (14-4, 4.09 ERA)
How wiseguys are betting the Rangers-Athletics total is a little more straightforward.
Overall betting is balanced — 57% of bets are on the under — yet the total has dropped from the opener of 9 to 8.5.
SI’s Bet Signals once again provide context, triggering two separate Steam Moves on under 9. It’s important to note that while sharps have hit the under multiple times, each of those instances occurred when the total sat at 9.
At the time of writing, there has been no activity at the current number.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 9 to 8.5)