MLB Sharp Report: How the Pros Are Betting Phillies vs. Nationals, Orioles vs. Blue Jays

MLB Sharp Report: How the Pros Are Betting Phillies vs. Nationals, Orioles vs. Blue Jays article feature image

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Max Scherzer

  • Sharp action is hitting three games in particular on Tuesday's MLB slate.
  • The Action Network's tools reveal how pros are playing Phillies-Nats (7:05 p.m. ET) and Orioles-Blue Jays (7:07 p.m. ET).

It’s easy to forget this time of year that there is still baseball being played. The meager bet counts on tonight’s MLB slate certainly reflect that.

But whether or not the public wants to play ball, sharps are always going to be betting any sports on which they can find value, and tonight they’re eyeing three bets on two MLB games:

  • Phillies vs. Nationals (Game 2, 7:05 p.m. ET)
  • Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07 p.m. ET)

All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Phillies vs. Nationals

7:05 p.m. ET (Game 2) | Aaron Nola (12-6, 3.75 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (10-7, 2.81 ERA)

Game 1 of this NL East doubleheader certainly has the public’s attention, as it leads the slate in terms of ticket count from bettors happy to get some money down during the day.

Game 2, however, is where sharps have been finding value.

An opening number around +150 may seem like a juicy price for the Phillies behind Aaron Nola — and more often than not it’s the underdog that gets the sharp coin in baseball — but wiseguys are laying the moneyline with Scherzer and the Nats at home tonight.

Perhaps because of the day game option, Game 2 has yet to see a significant number of tickets, which makes it hard to tell just how “public” the Nats’ 73% backing is.

What’s clear is that sharps have certainly been among that majority to this point, which has generated nearly all of the actual money being wagered and triggered two SI Bet Signals — indications of professional money causing market-wide moves — at -166 and -178.

Sharp angle: Nationals (moved from -165 to -185)

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

7:07 p.m. ET | Dylan Bundy (6-14, 4.89 ERA) vs. Anthony Kay (1-0, 5.79 ERA)

One bet wasn’t enough for sharps in this battle of the AL East basement. They started with the moneyline, hammering Baltimore down from an opening number of +135 to the current +115 despite just a 39% backing. As was the case above, those bets have accounted for significantly more money (62%).

The Orioles have also drawn more SI Bet Signals than any other play today (five).

As for the total, the sharp side has been a little less obvious — at least based on the opening and current numbers, which are the same. That doesn’t mean sharps are evenly betting both sides, however. It just means that they’ve only been willing to take the under at an inflated number.

Specifically, they’ve triggered bet signals (three of them) only after the total has jumped to 10, causing sportsbooks to return the line to its opener of 9.5.

Sharp angles: Orioles (moved from +135 to +115), Under (moved from 10 to 9.5)

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