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MLB Sharp Report: Rangers-Angels Among 3 Saturday Afternoon Pro Bets

Credit:

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Mike Trout

  • The MLB probably isn't the focus of most bettors today, but sharps are still finding value on the full slate.
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals help reveal which way the smart money is going on three games, starting with Mets-Nationals (1:05 p.m. ET).

You may not have woken up this morning with your mind on baseball, but there’s still a day to kill before the Final Four tips off. Of course, sharps aren’t betting to kill days, they’re looking for value wherever they can find it, and this afternoon it’s come on three MLB matchups.

With first pitches ranging from 1 to 4 p.m. ET, wiseguys have made moves on Nats-Mets, Twins-Phillies and Rangers-Angels. Let’s take a look.


>> All odds as of 10 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.


Washington Nationals @ New York Mets

1:05 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Nationals (moved from -110 to -133)

Patrick Corbin vs. the 5-2 Mets has presented a bit of a pickle for public bettors. At the time of writing, this is the most evenly-bet game on Saturday’s slate with Washington holding a slight 53% edge.

Apparently, those 53% of bettors are on the right side if sharp action is any indication.

They’ve generated 77% of actual money being wagered on the matchup, and since sharper bettors are generally putting down more than your average Joe, the bigger bets on Washington serve as a solid indication of professional action.

Confirming that indication have been two Sports Insights Bet Signals in the form of steam moves. Steam refers to a heavy load of sharp action hitting the same side over a short period of time, causing a market-wide price shift.

In the case of the Nats, our signals identified the moves at -106 and -125.

Minnesota Twins @ Philadelphia Phillies

2:05 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Twins (moved from +136 to +128)

The new-look Phillies have come out of the gate hot, winning five of their first six, and public bettors are all aboard the train. Their 70% backing makes them the second-most popular play on today’s slate, but their line has actually fallen since opening.

Once again, it’s been sharp action triggering the line move, as Sports Insights’ Bet Signals revealed another two instances of professional money hitting the Twins (+139 and +129).

Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels

4:05 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Angels (moved from -125 to -163)

Generally, sharp action in baseball pops up on contrarian sides, like in the case above with Minnesota. On Saturday, however, two sides receiving more than 50% of bets have also been the target of sharp bettors.

In this case, 63% of bets are behind the Angels, but a near 40-cent line move wouldn’t come from a public backing alone.

Those bets have generated 95% of money wagered at the time of writing, and while such high figures tend to drop a bit as first pitch approaches, the bet vs. money discrepancy is far significant enough to serve as a sharp indicator.

On top of that, the Halos have triggered two SI Bet Signals of their own, with sharps steaming the undervalued line at -125 and again at -133.

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