MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cardinals-Brewers, 2 Other Saturday Games

MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cardinals-Brewers, 2 Other Saturday Games article feature image

Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports. Paul DeJong and Mike Moustakas

  • The MLB is back to a 15-game slate today, and sharps are making note of three games in particular.
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals reveal how they're playing Pirates-Reds, Astros-Rays and Cardinals-Brewers.

All 30 MLB teams are back in action Saturday, and with the 15-game slate, you can be pretty confident that sharps will have a strong take on at least a few matchups.

There’s still plenty of time leading up to some of today’s later starts, but wiseguys haven’t wasted any time getting down on a couple evening games. Prior to that, though, they’ve been all over this afternoon’s Pirates-Reds matchup (2:10 p.m. ET).

>> All odds as of 10:30 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds

2:10 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Reds (moved from -122 to -137)

When it comes to betting baseball, sharps often end up on underdogs against the public side. It’s important to note, though, that they aren’t betting those teams because they’re underdogs or because they’re against the public. That just tends to be the side that has value in the betting market.

I say that because today’s Reds are neither contrarian nor an underdog, and sharps have still been backing them throughout the morning.

Fifty-six percent of bets, to be exact, have landed on the Reds so far today. While that does make them the public side, it’s not enough to account for such a significant line move … unless sharps are involved.

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered two steam moves on Cincinnati. Steam refers to heavy money landing on the same side over a short period, resulting in a market-wide line move. Steam is a sign of professional action.

In this case, the moves came at lines of -120 and -122, shooting the number up to its current listing.

Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays

6:10 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Rays (moved from +114 to +103)

The Rays evened their opening series with the Astros yesterday, earning a 4-2 win at Tropicana Field. And while Tampa Bay was a 90-win team last year, most casual bettors don’t expect the Rays to win an opening three-game series against a team like Houston. Sixty-six percent of bettors are behind the Astros, but their line has fallen from -125 to -113.

That should serve as almost a dead giveaway that sharps are behind Tampa Bay.

Once again, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals confirm that to be true. Four moves have been triggered on Tampa Bay, causing oddsmakers to move this line toward even money. It’s worth noting, though, that we haven’t tracked a sharp move at any number inside +110.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

7:10 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 9 to 8.5)

This opening matchup has been no stranger to the early-season Sharp Reports. Today, though, it makes an appearance for a new reason.

Instead of focusing on the side of this game, pros are looking at the total. Specifically, they’re flocking toward the under, and more specifically, the under at a total of 9.

This total opened at 8.5, and most bettors have been jumping on the over. In fact, 78% percent of bets to this point are behind the over, which initially sent the total up to 9. That’s when sharps stepped in, triggering three SI Bet Signals on the under at the new number.

Since then, the total has fallen back to its opener, and we’ve tracked no more sharp action. If the over’s popularity pushes the number back to 9, however, look for pros to come down hard on the under once again.

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