USA TODAY Sports
- Wiseguys are betting four MLB games on Monday, headlined by Chicago Cubs-Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 p.m. ET), with Arizona listed as a -134 favorite and an over/under of 7.5.
- Sharps are also betting Washington Nationals-Miami Marlins (7:10 p.m. ET), Cincinnati Reds-Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 p.m. ET) and Colorado Rockies-Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET).
Public bettors will be glued to Monday Night Football tonight. But wiseguys are riding baseball until the bitter end. They know that the final two weeks provide sneaky sharp value.
In games 150 to 162, underdogs receiving fewer than 40% of bets with reverse line movement have gone 304-366 (45.4%), winning +58.71 units with an 8.8% ROI since 2005.
After analyzing Monday’s 12-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:10 p.m., 7:35 p.m., 9:40 p.m. and 10:10 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.