Monday’s MLB Over/Under: Can Odrisamer Despaigne Handle the Rockies?
Rob Schumacher/The Republic via USA TODAY NETWORK. Pictured: Odrisamer Despaigne
Betting odds: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels
- Over/Under: 8
- First Pitch: 10:07 p.m. ET (ESPN)
- Probable Pitchers: Jon Gray (10-10, 4.67 ERA) vs. Odrisamer Despaigne (2-2, 6.35 ERA)
Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 85-56-3, +23 units
Yesterday’s Result: Yankees-Orioles Under 8.5, Severino vs. Bundy (WIN)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit
Once again, it was another close one last night, as my Yankees-Orioles under bet hung on by a half-run. We’ll see if we can make it three in a row with another ESPN affair on this Monday evening.
Do not adjust your television sets; for the first time in months, I’ll be betting an over, as the Rockies and Angels commence a two-game interleague series in Southern California.
One of the starters in tonight’s series opener, Odrisamer Despaigne, has the potential to single-handedly register an over — or at least put us in pretty good shape.
The former Padre and Marlin did not fare too well in his first pair of starts with the Angels, yielding eight combined runs in eight innings. He also failed to exceed four innings in either effort as the Halos fell in both contests.
Tonight, it likely won’t get any easier for the 31-year-old, as he draws one of the more potent lineups in the National League, which will get the added benefit of having a designated hitter in the lineup.
As far as their league ranks go, the Rockies are a top-five offense in terms of team batting average (.256), slugging percentage (.431), home runs (162), runs scored (612) and extra-base hits (415).
They’re also hot right now, having gone 7-3 in their past 10.
They’ve put up 5.5 runs per game during that stretch, never once scoring fewer than three runs.
Despaigne is also a guy who doesn’t strike out many batters, so he’ll be in a difficult spot here.
The real challenge in this bet figures to come from the other starter, Jon Gray.
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jon Gray
Unlike Despaigne, the former first-round draft pick is actually a good major league starter and has certainly looked like one since returning from a shocking demotion in mid-July.
Since that time, Gray has turned in seven quality starts in eight tries, adding another one his last time out when he beat the Padres with 6.1 innings of two-run ball.
The Colorado right-hander is also capable of picking up punch-outs, as he’s fanning 10.36 batters per nine innings, the best such mark of his career.
But Gray is about to tangle with some pretty dangerous hitters, such as the game’s best player in Mike Trout, who just returned from the disabled list this past weekend. Fellow future Hall-of-Famer Albert Pujols is also in the lineup, as is Shohei Ohtani to comprise a pretty potent heart of the order.
Playing in Anaheim may be of assistance, too, as the Angels have cranked out the fifth-most homers (91) at home in the majors.
Gray, who is two homers allowed shy of his career high of 18, could be prone to the long ball tonight, though that’s not the driving force behind this bet.
I expect Despaigne to set the tone for a higher-scoring matchup.
Play: OVER 8 (-110)