White Sox-Athletics Betting Preview: Will Mike Fiers Continue His Home Dominance?

Jul 12, 2019 02:33 AM EDT

Credit: Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oakland Athletics pitcher Mike Fiers,.

  • Mike Fiers and the Oakland Athletics (-180) face the Chicago White Sox on Friday at the RingCentral Coliseum (10:07 p.m. ET).
  • With the Athletics, Fiers has made 15 home starts and Oakland is 12-3 in those games, outscoring their opponents by 1.3 runs per game.
  • We look at how bettors can take advantage of Fiers as a big home favorite.

Betting odds: Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics

  • White Sox moneyline: +165
  • Athletics moneyline: -180
  • Over/Under: 9.5
  • First pitch: 10:07 p.m. ET

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets

It’s been almost a full year since the Oakland Athletics traded for Mike Fiers from the Detroit Tigers for two relief pitchers.

During the home stretch last season, Fiers had an ERA of 3.74, but the A’s went 8-2 in his 10 starts, including 6-0 at home, where Fiers had a 2.91 ERA.

Since acquiring Fiers from the Tigers, he has a 2.51 ERA at home, the second-lowest on the team, behind just Liam Hendriks. When it comes to walks and hits, there it no better A’s pitcher. Fiers has the lowest WHIP (min. 20 IP), at 0.93.

With the Athletics, Fiers has made 15 home starts and Oakland is 12-3 in those games, outscoring their opponents by 1.3 runs per game.

The Athletics actually lost Fiers’ last home start 4-3 against the Twins, picking up his third loss at home with Oakland. After his previous two home losses, Fiers has allowed just one earned run in 15.2 innings pitched in his follow start at home.

Since acquiring Fiers on August 6, Oakland’s 12-3 record at home with him as a starter has profited bettors $843 on a $100 per game basis.

In that span, no pitcher has been more profitable at home for bettors than Mike Fiers.

In total, Fiers has been in the Major Leagues since 2011 with the Athletics, Tigers, Astros and Brewers. In that span, those teams are 57-34 (62.6%) when Fiers takes the mound at home, with his team winning those 91 games by a full run per game.

In his career, Fiers’ ERA is a full run lower at home (3.54) than it is on the road (4.64). This season, there is even more of a gap, with his home ERA (2.91) over two full runs better than his road ERA (5.03).

Of the 812 different pitchers to start a home game in that span, Fiers is the fifth-most profitable home starter in all of baseball.

The most profitable starter at home in that span?

Zack Greinke, who is an astonishing 105-36 (74.5%), profiting bettors $3,090 on a $100 per game basis.

Mike Fiers, Oakland Athletics. Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The biggest indicator of a pitching throwing effectively in the betting market is their success in the first five innings.

Since being acquired from the Tigers back in August, Fiers has been lights out in the first five innings for the Athletics. Oakland is 13-1-1 (92.9%) on the first five innings moneyline at home when Fiers starts, beating their opponents by 1.5 runs per game in that span.

Coming out of the All-Star break, Fiers gets an opportunity to continue his home success against an offense who has hit just 46 home runs on the road this year, second-fewest in all of baseball.

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