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NASCAR Cup Series: Best Bets for Sunday’s Pocono 400

Jun 03, 2018 9:01 PM EDT

Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Kyle Busch

Pocono Raceway, also known as The Tricky Triangle, is a large and very unique 2.5-mile tri-oval racetrack with its three turns modeled after turns at other tracks. Turn 1 is taken from Trenton Speedway, and Turn 2 is inspired by the corners at Indianapolis Motor Speedway (also referred to as the “Tunnel Turn” due to the infield entrance and exit tunnels that run below the turn). Turn 3 is taken from the Milwaukee Mile.


Because cars historically have trouble passing here, Pocono Raceway is not the most popular track among race fans looking for action. However, for bettors it provides one key advantage that makes Pocono one of my favorite races to bet.

Due to its size, it takes cars more than 50 seconds to complete a lap. As a result, cars running toward the front of the field can come down pit road, make four-tire pit stops, exit and blend back onto the racetrack without losing a lap.

As bettors, we can’t predict exactly what will happen on the track, but by using historical data, practice results, qualifying and other information, we can predict which cars will be fast. Do that enough over the course of an entire season, and you’ll make more than you’ll lose.

With that said, there is nothing more frustrating than having a car you bet dominate a race, only to end up falling short due to pit road penalties, loose wheels or getting burned by ill-timed cautions when making green-flag stops. At most racetracks, these issues put drivers at least one lap down and even more at shorter racetracks.

But at Pocono, drivers can serve penalties, make unscheduled pit stops or survive bad-luck yellows by remaining on the lead lap. This is a huge advantage for bettors by keeping fast cars in contention for both wins and cashing tickets.

Using historical results and data from Saturday’s very interesting practice session, here are three bets currently offering value:

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