It’s Memorial Day weekend, which means that it’s time for the greatest motor sports day of the year. In the morning (9:10 a.m. ET), we have the Monaco Grand Prix. In the afternoon (12:19 p.m. ET), we have the Indianapolis 500, where …
- Alexander Rossi is favored.
- Danica Patrick has a shot to win her last career race.
- One prop in particular is highly exploitable.
- Value picks abound.
And then in the evening (6:18 p.m. ET) at Charlotte Motor Speedway we have the Coca-Cola 600, the longest NASCAR race of the season. Featuring a combination of day, dusk, and night racing, the Coca-Cola 600 is an institution. I mean, Bryan Mears’ grandmother rents a limo and goes to the race every year: That’s how awesome it is.
If you love motor sports, Sunday is your Super Bowl.
A popular track hosting two NASCAR races per year (plus the All-Star race), Charlotte is a fairly standard 1.5-mile asphalt quad oval with 24-degree banking in the turns. For this race, here are the main metrics I’m considering:
- Projected finishing position
- Starting position
- Long-run practice time
- Year-to-date performance
- 1.5-mile oval history
- Track-specific history
Per usual, I rely on the machine learning statistical models and similarity scores at RotoViz, created by Nick Giffen (RotoDoc). For more on the race, check out the podcast I recorded this week with Nick Giffen (RotoDoc).
I’ve pulled all the odds from 5Dimes, but be sure to shop around.
Normally I highlight just three props, but because this is the Coca-Cola 600 I’m going big with SIX. And that’s not all: They’re all underdogs.
Let’s do this!!!