The Indy 500 Bet to Make Right Now

May 18, 2019 10:30 AM EDT
Credit:

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: INDYCAR driver Felix Rosenqvist (10).

  • Cars have been on track all week at the Brickyard, providing valuable practice data for the Indy 500 (May 26 at 12 p.m. ET, NBC).
  • After analyzing the data, there is one driver offering massive value at longshot odds.

The Indy 500 is among the most prestigious races of the year across all motorsports. Because it’s such an important event, drivers and teams spend two weeks preparing at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, including plenty of time on track.

Indy 500 practice started Tuesday and cars have been on track all week as teams get ready for the weekend’s qualifying sessions.

As a result, there is plenty of data to analyze to us help pick off drivers offering early value before qualifying sets the field and odds see a major adjustment.

There are two important data points that come from this week’s practice sessions: tow and no-tow speeds.

Having a “tow” is the same thing as having a draft. While these speeds are important, they can be skewed based on whether a driver got a tow from another car during his or her fast lap.

No-tow speeds refer to lap times run by drivers without the assistance of a draft from another car, and are a better measure of raw speed in the racecar. While neither of these are perfect, they do provide valuable insight for bettors looking for the fastest cars.

I like to compile and rank cars in terms of both tow and no-tow speeds, then try to pinpoint which drivers have been consistently fast throughout all practice sessions both with and without a draft.

I’ve done that once again this year and the clear top driver (and it’s not even close) in practice is still priced as a longshot at a couple of books across the market.

Based on my analysis of practice, there’s one driver I’m jumping on right now before sportsbooks catch on to just how fast he’s running at Indy.

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