This weekend NASCAR heads to Sin City for the Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Appropriately, I’m here to help you find value for Sunday’s 267-lap race. Each week I will use my machine learning statistical model and the RotoViz Driver Sim Scores to find the best value bets to win the race.

 

Last weekend at Atlanta, my picks raced well, but each of them fell just short of the win. Brad Keselowski (+1650) finished second, while Denny Hamlin (+1200) and Martin Truex Jr. (+850) finished back-to-back in fourth and fifth. I advised against betting race winner Kevin Harvick (+500), but if we look back at the past six Atlanta races Harvick has won only once despite dominating all of them, so I’m comfortable saying it was pretty close to break even in the long run. Had Harvick encountered any late-race issues, Keselowski and Hamlin would have been the leaders thanks to their individual race strategies.

But enough with the rear-view mirror. It’s time to look out the windshield to Las Vegas!

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game