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NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Saturday’s Richmond Toyota Owners 400

Apr 13, 2019 9:59 AM EDT
Credit:

Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch

  • NASCAR's Props Challenge game asks fans to answer 10 prop-betting questions each week, with weekly winners eligible for prizes.
  • PJ Walsh offers his Props Challenge picks and analysis for Saturday's Toyota Owners 400 (7:30 p.m. ET, FOX) at Richmond Raceway.

The NCAA Tournament is over, but Saturday is shaping up to be a sneaky good sports day. Of course, the Masters will dominate the weekend, but don’t forget about the start of the NBA playoffs and a Saturday night race at one of NASCAR’s most exciting tracks: Richmond Raceway.

Yes, you read that right.

This weekend’s race is at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday (instead of Sunday), meaning you can transition straight from your Masters sweat right into NASCAR action, short-track style.

Even if you’re not ready to bet on NASCAR, playing NASCAR.com’s Props Challenge game is a great way to have some skin in the game on Saturday night.

So, without further ado, here are my props picks for the Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway.

1. Which Stewart Haas Racing driver finishes higher at Richmond? Clint Bowyer or Aric Almirola?

Last season at Richmond, Bowyer had a better average finish, led more laps and ran more fast laps than Almirola.

I still think this will be very close, but the data says Clint is the play.

Answer: Bowyer


2. Over/under 1.5 drivers lead over 90 laps at Richmond?

Both races at Richmond in 2018 finished with two or more drivers eclipsing 90 laps led, so let’s play the over.

Answer: Over 1.5


3. There has been an average of 15.8 lead changes in the past four races at Richmond. O/U 15.5 lead changes on Saturday night?

The 13 lead changes during the Fall race in 2017 pulls down that average a bit, as five of the past six Richmond races finished with at least 16 lead changes.

Answer: Over 15.5

4. Does Joe Gibbs Racing win their sixth race of the season at Richmond?

This question basically boils down to Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin vs. the field. I know, I’m leaving Joe Gibbs Racing’s fourth driver, Erik Jones, off that list, but that’s because he simply hasn’t shown an ability to consistently run up front and contend for wins.