NASCAR at Dover Betting Odds & Picks: 3 Bets for Sunday’s Drydene 311
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Denny Hamlin, driver of the #11 (left)
The NASCAR Cup Series moves from one Drydene 311 to another. The second of the Dover International Speedway twin bill will arm bettors with some handy on-track information.
The opening race featured a 1-2-3 finish by Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch. In all, the top-five finishers from the first race seem to be the heavy favorites according to most books.
I have a preferred selection among those five, plus two more outright bets that offer value.
NASCAR at Dover Odds, Betting Picks
Odds as of late Saturday and via various legal sportsbooks. Find promos for the best online books here.
Denny Hamlin (+450)
Hamlin’s sixth win came in dominant fashion. He clearly had the best car all race, and passed the other dominator (Truex) cleanly for the lead with nine laps to go.
In the second leg of double headers in 2020, Hamlin has finished first or second all four times, improving upon each opening race’s finish. If that trend continues, he’ll not only win on Sunday, but do so in extremely comfortable fashion.
At +450, FanDuel has the most generous line I’ve seen so far, with Hamlin listed as low as +250 elsewhere. You’re looking for small edges when betting NASCAR favorites, but there is value here down to +350.
Brad Keselowski (+2000)
With the big five so heavily favored, it’s allowed Keselowski to slip down to a price you don’t normally see for him. This line at William Hill is extremely generous considering he’s as low as 14-1 at other books.
Keselowski had the fourth-best average running position and the sixth-best average green flag speed (removing Kurt Busch who crashed out on Lap 7). If you’re running that well, all you are is a strategy call or a small break in luck away from the lead.
Clint Bowyer (+5000)
Everything PJ Walsh wrote ahead of race No. 1 applies to Bowyer here as well.
Now with actual on-track activity to help us evaluate, I like him even more.
This extremely generous line comes after Bowyer ran among the big five all day. Bowyer’s third-best average running position and fourth-best average green flag speed should put him among the top-six to -eight drivers.
However, there’s a notable discrepancy in pricing across books: While he has the 10th-shortest odds at both books, Bowyer is 50-1 at William Hill compared to 28-1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. I still like him at that number at DraftKings, but as always, shop around for the best line.
He has value down to +2500.