Giffen: NASCAR DFS Picks and Strategy for Sunday’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix

Credit:

Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: William Byron

Mar 08, 2020, 01:30 PM EDT
  • Building a DFS lineup for Sunday's NASCAR race (FanShield 500 at Phoenix)? You've come to right place.
  • Nick Giffen breaks down his strategy for picking drivers, including some dominators, mid-range plays and value plays.
  • Check out his picks below for Sunday's DraftKings and FanDuel contests.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Phoenix Raceway for 312 laps at the 1.022-mile oval. After a 2019 season that lacked competition at the short, flat tracks, NASCAR has changed the aerodynamic package. The current rules will resemble those from the 2016-2018 seasons at this track type. That means we shouldn’t look too much into data from last year’s two races at Phoenix, or at the other short, flat tracks. We certainly shouldn’t ignore 2019 completely, but certainly a word of caution is warranted when evaluating performance for today’s race.


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Lineup Construction Strategy

Dominators

To start, we always want to build our lineups around drivers that could dominate the race. From 2016 to 2018, there were 13 drivers that scored at least 35 DraftKings dominator points over the six races at Phoenix. That’s just over two per race. Additionally, every single one of those drivers had a 10 lap average inside the top 12 in final practice. Ten of the thirteen started inside the top 10. And all but Alex Bowman in 2016 — who moved up from an underfunded team to fill in for a concussed Dale Earnhardt Jr. — had a driver rating of at least 93.9 over the past 15 races. Notably, however, only two pole sitters have dominated in the six Phoenix races.

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