Mears: Quick Reactions on All 30 NBA Teams’ Odds to Make, Miss the Playoffs

Jul 09, 2019 06:28 PM EDT
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Photo credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zion Williamson

  • The New Jersey sportsbook PointsBet released odds Tuesday afternoon on all 30 NBA teams to make or miss the 2019-20 playoffs.
  • Below I give my initial reactions to the numbers on each team, starting with the likely ones to make/miss and working to the fringe candidates.

This afternoon, PointsBet released odds on all 30 NBA teams to make and miss the playoffs for the 2019-20 season.

Let’s run through every team’s odds and give some quick reactions on each and whether there might be value.


Huge Favorites to Make Playoffs

  • Milwaukee Bucks (-5000, 98.0% implied probability)

Have the reigning MVP, who is just 24 years old. They’ll miss Malcolm Brogdon, but this team is still loaded and were able to re-sign Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez to keep their starting five intact.

  • Philadelphia 76ers (-2500, 96.2%)

I’ve seen people debating whether the 76ers are better this year than last after essentially trading out Jimmy Butler and J.J. Redick for Josh Richardson and Al Horford. I think they unequivocally are: Richardson is one of the most undervalued players in the league, and for this team, he isn’t a downgrade from Butler. Adding Horford’s veteran presence and defensive play is huge, too. This has a chance to be one of the best defensive starting fives we’ve ever seen.

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers center Joel Embiid (21) and guard Ben Simmons (25).
  • LA Clippers (-2000, 95.2%)

What’s lost in the Clippers’ move for Kawhi Leonard and Paul George is still how crazy loaded they are up and down this roster. Off the bench they’ll have guys like Lou Williams, Jerome Robinson, Maurice Harkless, Wilson Chandler, Montrezl Harrell and JaMychal Green. Those guys could all likely start for quite a few NBA teams. Kawhi and PG should be able to manage their loads.

  • Utah Jazz (-1000, 90.9%)

Depth is the common factor for these top teams, and that’s true for the Jazz, too. Joe Ingles or Bojan Bogdanovic will likely come off the bench, which will also feature guys like Jeff Green, Royce O’Neale and Ed Davis. The importance of getting the still-developing Donovan Mitchell another shooting threat/ball-handler in Mike Conley can’t be overstated.