Pros Targeting Monday Night’s 76ers-Heat Point Spread, Over/Under
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers center Joel Embiid
- The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Miami Heat (7:30 p.m. ET) in what is likely their final game without the newly-acquired Jimmy Butler.
- Per Sports Insights' Bet Signals, sharp bettors have hit on both the spread and over/under for this matchup.
The Philadelphia 76ers are tired and undermanned. They’ve played two straight overtime games, with the last resulting in a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday.
Dario Saric and Robert Covington are out and the newest Philly superstar, Jimmy Butler, must be driving to join his new teammates because he’s not expected to make his debut until Wednesday in Orlando.
Tonight, the 8-6 Sixers are in Miami to take on the 5-7 Heat.
This line opened Sunday evening while everybody was too busy with football to care about hoops, but several waves of sharp action came in overnight and again Monday morning.
First, let’s talk about the spread. Seventy percent of bettors like Philly, which opened as a 1-point underdog.
I understand, the 76ers are the much bigger name, have the better young stars, #TrustTheProcess, etc, etc. However, half of the actual money wagered is on the Heat.
There have also been five Sports Insights Bet Signals triggered on the Heat at -1 and -1.5. All of this one-sided sharp action has driven the line up to Miami -2.
The over/under has a similar tale to tell. Right now, bets are basically split 50/50. The under, however, is getting 65% of the dough.
If we take a look at the Bet Signals triggered, three moves are on the under — two at 223 and one at 221.5 — and none on the over.
As a result, the total has fallen from 223 to 220.5/221 since opening.
Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons both played around 40 minutes in each of the past two games. Even Landry Shamet played 43 minutes on Saturday.
Is this bunch too tired to handle the Heat or can the Sixers get the job done in their last task without Butler at their service?