Freedman’s Arbitrage Player Prop Plays for Saturday: Aaron Gordon’s Made 3-Point Shots

Freedman’s Arbitrage Player Prop Plays for Saturday: Aaron Gordon’s Made 3-Point Shots article feature image
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Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

  • See the player props Matthew Freedman has found to arbitrage on Saturday, featuring the over/under on Aaron Gordon's made 3-point shots in Magic-Pacers.

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional, official player prop picks: Today we have eight NHL and seven NBA games.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

193-162-11, +30.70 Units

  • NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
  • NBA: 92-73-3, +12.68 Units
  • NHL: 58-68-7, -4.63 Units
  • Golf: 4-4-1, +0.65 Units
  • NASCAR: 4-2-0. +2.55 Units
  • NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
  • NCAAB: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
  • Exotic: 14-0-0. +9.73 Units

Saturday (March 2) Arbitrage Player Prop Plays

This piece is supplemental to my Parris Campbell 40-yard dash analysis, published earlier today.

I’ve recently been able to find player props each day to arbitrage in the NBA betting market. Any such props I find today I’ll highlight in this piece, which I might update as tip-off approaches.

What Is Arbitrage?

From our sports betting glossaryarbitrage is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same game in different markets to profit from unequal prices.

Essentially, when you arbitrage, you are guaranteed not to lose money. And in some cases you are guaranteed to win money. Not a lot of money. But enough to make the exercise worth it.

For more details, see this Sports Insights arbitrage breakdown.

Aaron Gordon Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Over 1.5: +115 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 1.5: -110 (1.15 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.045 units.

Darren Collison Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Over 1.5: +175 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 1.5: -145 (1.75 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.207 units.

D’Angelo Russell Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: -105 (1.25 units)
  • Under 2.5: +125 (1.0 unit)

If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.190 units.

Joe Harris Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: +160 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 2.5: -155 (1.60 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.032 units.

Kevin Durant Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 2.5: -145 (1.55 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.069 units.

LeBron James Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: +160 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 2.5: -145 (1.60 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.103 units.

Reggie Bullock Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

  • Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: +145 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 2.5: -135 (1.45 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.074 units.


Bonus: NHL Arbitrage Plays

I sometimes find some arbitrage plays in the NHL player props market. If I find any today, I’ll put them here.

Aleksander Barkov Over/Under 2.5 Shots on Goal

  • Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Over 2.5: +100 (1.0 unit)
  • Under 2.5: +110 (1.0 unit)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.1 units.

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