Game 6 Trends: LeBron Typically Covers in Elimination Games

May 25, 2018 02:57 PM EDT

Pictured: LeBron James. Photo credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The Action Network analysts John Ewing and Evan Abrams comb the Bet Labs database each day to bring you profitable trends for the slate. Here are notable historical trends for Cavs-Celtics Game 6.

Facing elimination, LeBron James’ teams have historically gone 12-9 SU and 13-8 ATS. As favorites in an elimination game, they’ve gone an even better 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. In elimination games during the conference finals and NBA Finals, his teams have gone 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS.

Since 2005 in the conference finals and NBA Finals, teams coming off a double-digit loss that are favored at home in their next game have gone 23-10 (70%) ATS, covering on average by 7.0 points.


Cleveland opened as a seven-point favorite. In LeBron’s playoff career, when his teams have been favored by more than six points, they have gone 49-31-2 (61%) ATS.

Since 2005, 115 teams have played a Game 6 at home in the playoffs. Only four of those, however, opened as favorites of seven points or more, and only two trailed 3-2 in the series:

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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