The NBA Props article offers data-driven analysis on player prop bets for each day’s slate using The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights to highlight notable props.

Friday’s analysis will cover the following three props:

  • Domantas Sabonis over/under 5 rebounds, Indiana vs. Cleveland (8 p.m. ET).
  • Myles Turner over/under 12.5 points, Indiana vs. Cleveland (8 p.m. ET).
  • Ricky Rubio over/under 14.5 points, Utah vs. Oklahoma City (10:30 p.m. ET).

All lines accurate as of 4 p.m. ET on Friday, April 27. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.


Domantas Sabonis Over 5 Rebounds (-105)

8 p.m. ET | ESPN

During the regular season, Sabonis needed just 24.5 minutes per game to average 7.7 rebounds, and he’s been playing 27.5 minutes per game over the past three games against the Cavs — including 33 in Game 5. That amount of playing time is likely to continue after Sabonis poured in 19 points in Game 4 and followed that up with a 22-point showing in Game 5.  And scoring is not the only way Sabonis benefits the offense: He leads the Pacers during the playoffs in screen assists (when an offensive player sets a screen for a teammate that directly leads to a made field goal by that teammate) and is also more skilled than Myles Turner at making the Cavs pay for trapping Victor Oladipo, whose Offensive Rating is 6.6 points higher with Sabonis on versus off the floor this series, per the FantasyLabs NBA On/Off tool. And while tickets are split nearly 50/50 on the over/under in this game as of this writing, more than 90% of the money is on the under, which is usually a plus for rebounding numbers.

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