3 NBA Props for Friday: Exum Over/Under 8.5 Points?

The NBA Props article offers data-driven analysis on player prop bets for each day’s slate using The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights to highlight notable props.

Friday’s analysis will cover the following three props:

• E'Twaun Moore over/under 11.5 points, New Orleans vs. Golden State, 8 p.m. ET
• Dante Exum over/under 8.5 points, Utah vs. Houston, 10:30 p.m. ET
• Jae Crowder over/under 5.5 rebounds, Utah vs. Houston, 10:30 p.m. ET

All lines accurate as of 5 p.m. ET on Friday, May 4. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.

E'Twaun Moore Over 11 Points (-125)

8 p.m. ET | ESPN

Moore played 26 scoreless minutes against the Warriors back on Oct. 20, 2017, but since then he's gone for 16, 27, 15, 15 and 14 points against them. He shot 11 times in Game 1, and 13 more in Game 2 — both more than he had in any single game in the first round. With this game likely to be played at an even more frenetic pace with Stephen Curry back in the starting lineup for the Warriors — Game 3 features the highest total for a game in NBA Playoff history, in case you weren't aware — there's no reason for Moore not to continue to hoist shots at an elevated rate against the Dubs.

Jae Crowder Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130)

10:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

The pairing of traditional big men Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors hasn't worked thus far in the series, letting the Rockets run up 133.5 points per 100 possessions in the 24 minutes they've shared the floor. Jazz head coach Quin Snyder's had to reduce Favors' minutes and that's meant more of Crowder, who's averaging 33.3 minutes played in the series. That increase in playing time actually began in Game 6 of the first round, and he's averaged 6.3 rebounds per game over that four-game span (including 7.5 in this series).

Dante Exum Under 8.5 Points (-115)

10:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

After reaching 10 points just once in six games of Round 1, Exum has scored nine in back-to-back contests to start Round 2, thanks to a combined 6-of-12 shooting (2-of-4 from 3). So let me get this straight: I can bet on James Harden's designated fouler — who for his career shoots 39.5% overall, 30.6% from 3, and averages 5.7 points in 20.2 minutes per game — to not have an above-average night for the third straight game? I'm in.

Pictured above: Dante Exum
Photo credit: Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports