Saturday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals featuring the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors at 9 p.m. ET:
- Clint Capela (Rockets) over/under 13.5 points
- Klay Thompson (Warriors) over/under 21.5 points
- James Harden (Rockets) over/under 8.5 assists
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Clint Capela under 13.5 points (-115 on Bovada)
9 p.m. ET | TNT
The under on this prop came through for me in Game 5 despite Capela scoring eight points in the first six minutes of the game. He has scored under 13.5 points in eight straight games, and the absence of Chris Paul could actually hurt Capela in the scoring department; he’s seen an average usage decrease of 1.5% in 21 games without Paul this season, and as a result he’s averaged 0.8 fewer points per game. Paul’s absence doesn’t necessarily guarantee Capela more minutes either, as the Rockets could lean more heavily on Gerald Green, Luc Mbah a Moute, and/or Joe Johnson if they choose to go with a smaller lineup.